Author: William Thomas Pike; Vikas Saini
Title: An international comparison of the second derivative of COVID-19 deaths after implementation of social distancing measures Document date: 2020_3_25
ID: ln26bux8_11
Snippet: The observed convergences to date, at an early point in the Chinese trajectory, for Italy, Spain, France, USA, UK, Netherlands and Germany, would indicate convergence of the combined transmission and fatality rate for these eight countries. If a similar fatality rate is assumed, this would imply these countries are converging on the same trajectory in transmission rates, the stated goal of efforts at social distancing......
Document: The observed convergences to date, at an early point in the Chinese trajectory, for Italy, Spain, France, USA, UK, Netherlands and Germany, would indicate convergence of the combined transmission and fatality rate for these eight countries. If a similar fatality rate is assumed, this would imply these countries are converging on the same trajectory in transmission rates, the stated goal of efforts at social distancing.
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