Author: Aravind Lathika Rajendrakumar; Anand Thakarakkattil Narayanan Nair; Charvi Nangia; Prabal Kumar Chourasia; Mehul Kumar Chourasia; Mohammad Ghouse Syed; Anu Sasidharan Nair; Arun B Nair; Muhammed Shaffi Fazaludeen Koya
Title: Epidemic Landscape and Forecasting of SARS-CoV-2 in India Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: mjqbvpw2_17
Snippet: There is an urgent need to estimate setting specific parameters for future planning. For instance, we did not have information on death rate and recovery rate and used estimates from published studies in the SIRD model. We also could not compute incubation period as the database contained information only on linked cases and their admissions. Studies have shown that this could be approximately between 5-8 days. 18, 19 Also, it is difficult to sep.....
Document: There is an urgent need to estimate setting specific parameters for future planning. For instance, we did not have information on death rate and recovery rate and used estimates from published studies in the SIRD model. We also could not compute incubation period as the database contained information only on linked cases and their admissions. Studies have shown that this could be approximately between 5-8 days. 18, 19 Also, it is difficult to separate the serial interval time from generation time overlaps as the information of cases are only available from reporting to the health authorities. Studies have suggested that SARS-Cov-2 can spread before the symptomatic phase which precludes full understanding of the transmission pattern and underlying characteristics.
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