Author: Aravind Lathika Rajendrakumar; Anand Thakarakkattil Narayanan Nair; Charvi Nangia; Prabal Kumar Chourasia; Mehul Kumar Chourasia; Mohammad Ghouse Syed; Anu Sasidharan Nair; Arun B Nair; Muhammed Shaffi Fazaludeen Koya
Title: Epidemic Landscape and Forecasting of SARS-CoV-2 in India Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: mjqbvpw2_2
Snippet: India was one of the countries to institute strict measures for SARS-CoV-2 control in early phase. 9 The first case of SARS-CoV-2 in India was reported on January 30 2020 from a student airlifted from Wuhan and at the same time another 800 suspected individuals kept under observation. 10 Since then, the epidemic growth trajectory was slow before registering an explosion of cases due to local cluster transmissions. In this paper, we describe the c.....
Document: India was one of the countries to institute strict measures for SARS-CoV-2 control in early phase. 9 The first case of SARS-CoV-2 in India was reported on January 30 2020 from a student airlifted from Wuhan and at the same time another 800 suspected individuals kept under observation. 10 Since then, the epidemic growth trajectory was slow before registering an explosion of cases due to local cluster transmissions. In this paper, we describe the current trend of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in in India and estimate basic parameters such as basic reproductive number R0 and time reproductive number Rt, doubling time and future trend for India from real world datasets. Our findings will help to understand the effectiveness of government response and recalibrate suppression strategies for the epidemic.
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