Author: Timothy W Russell; Joel Hellewell; Christopher I Jarvis; Kevin van-Zandvoort; Sam Abbott; Ruwan Ratnayake; Stefan Flasche; Rosalind M Eggo; Adam J Kucharski
Title: Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for COVID-19 using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship Document date: 2020_3_8
ID: hwqgotl2_20
Snippet: The case fatality ratio is challenging to accurately estimate in real time [8] , especially for an infection with attributes similar to SARS-CoV-2, which has a delay of almost two weeks between confirmation and death, strong effects of age-dependence and comorbidities on mortality risk, and likely under-reporting of cases in many settings [6] . Using an age-stratified adjustment, we accounted for changes in known outcomes over time. By applying t.....
Document: The case fatality ratio is challenging to accurately estimate in real time [8] , especially for an infection with attributes similar to SARS-CoV-2, which has a delay of almost two weeks between confirmation and death, strong effects of age-dependence and comorbidities on mortality risk, and likely under-reporting of cases in many settings [6] . Using an age-stratified adjustment, we accounted for changes in known outcomes over time. By applying the method to Diamond Princess data, we focus on a setting that is likely to have lower reporting error because large numbers were tested and the test has high sensitivity.
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