Selected article for: "epidemic predict size and final size"

Author: milan batista
Title: Estimation of the final size of the coronavirus epidemic by the logistic model
  • Document date: 2020_2_18
  • ID: ndnkhj42_31
    Snippet: The models used are data-driven, so they are as reliable as data are. Namely, as can be seen from the graph in Figure 2 at the beginning, we have exponential growth. Then until 11 Feb, one can predict the final epidemic size of about 55000 cases. However, the collection of data changes and we have a jump of about 15000 new cases on 12......
    Document: The models used are data-driven, so they are as reliable as data are. Namely, as can be seen from the graph in Figure 2 at the beginning, we have exponential growth. Then until 11 Feb, one can predict the final epidemic size of about 55000 cases. However, the collection of data changes and we have a jump of about 15000 new cases on 12.

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