Author: Romney B. Duffey; Enrico Zio
Title: Analysing recovery from pandemics by Learning Theory: the case of CoVid-19 Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: mh7mzuoe_40
Snippet: During the early onset of the CoVid-19 pandemic, many gloomy scenarios were made and analyzed but they generally assumed no effective countermeasures to the spread of infections. The infection numbers grew quickly at first, before countermeasures such as isolation, distancing, restrictions and curfews were implemented to reduce infection rates and "flatten the curve" of numbers versus time. Sad to say, deaths (distressing as they are) are also NO.....
Document: During the early onset of the CoVid-19 pandemic, many gloomy scenarios were made and analyzed but they generally assumed no effective countermeasures to the spread of infections. The infection numbers grew quickly at first, before countermeasures such as isolation, distancing, restrictions and curfews were implemented to reduce infection rates and "flatten the curve" of numbers versus time. Sad to say, deaths (distressing as they are) are also NOT the right measure-infections are the measure for the spread and control of infectious diseases. A logical question is whether the infection or death data show any signs that we are learning how to reduce risk?
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