Author: Laura Matrajt; Tiffany Leung
Title: Evaluating the effectiveness of social distancing interventions against COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: 0a49okho_16
Snippet: When interventions start on day 50, there is a delay of the epidemic regardless of the level of compliance in the adult population, with little change in the magnitude of the epidemic peak (a thorough analysis of this scenario is presented below). In comparison, if the intervention begins later (in the exponential phase of the epidemic), all interventions result in a flatter epidemic curve. The strategy of reducing the contacts of only the older .....
Document: When interventions start on day 50, there is a delay of the epidemic regardless of the level of compliance in the adult population, with little change in the magnitude of the epidemic peak (a thorough analysis of this scenario is presented below). In comparison, if the intervention begins later (in the exponential phase of the epidemic), all interventions result in a flatter epidemic curve. The strategy of reducing the contacts of only the older adults results in a moderate reduction in the epidemic peak (7,000 fewer cases at the epidemic peak compared to baseline). It is the only intervention that does not exhibit a rebound once the intervention is lifted (Figure 3 , panels D-F).
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