Author: Charles C Branas; Andrew Rundle; Sen Pei; Wan Yang; Brendan G Carr; Sarah Sims; Alexis Zebrowski; Ronan Doorley; Neil Schluger; James W Quinn; Jeffrey Shaman
Title: Flattening the curve before it flattens us: hospital critical care capacity limits and mortality from novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV2) cases in US counties Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: b23301ac_21
Snippet: An inversely proportional relationship is evident between available critical care beds and excess deaths that would occur when critical care surge bed limits are exceeded. The value of "flattening the curve" -that is, the difference between having none and achieving a 50% contact reduction -is potentially sizeable in terms of affording the US medical system, especially the choke point of hospital critical care, the necessary time to prepare and b.....
Document: An inversely proportional relationship is evident between available critical care beds and excess deaths that would occur when critical care surge bed limits are exceeded. The value of "flattening the curve" -that is, the difference between having none and achieving a 50% contact reduction -is potentially sizeable in terms of affording the US medical system, especially the choke point of hospital critical care, the necessary time to prepare and be able to handle a manageable throughput volume of severely ill COVID-19 cases.
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