Author: Pavan Kumar; Ram Kumar Singh; Chintan Nanda; Himangshu Kalita; Shashikanta Patairiya; Yagya Datt Sharma; Meenu Rani; Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula
Title: Forecasting COVID-19 impact in India using pandemic waves Nonlinear Growth Models Document date: 2020_4_2
ID: b9p5tqhl_43
Snippet: The Cumulative incidence cases daily mapped, forecast short term next one month using more than two months of observations using ARIMA and Richards growth model ( Figure.1) . By the end of April 2020, the incidence of new cases is predicted to be 5200 (95% CI: 4650 to 6002) through ARIMA model (Figure1(a) ), versus be 6378 (95% CI: 4904 to 7851) Richard's model (Figure1(b) )......
Document: The Cumulative incidence cases daily mapped, forecast short term next one month using more than two months of observations using ARIMA and Richards growth model ( Figure.1) . By the end of April 2020, the incidence of new cases is predicted to be 5200 (95% CI: 4650 to 6002) through ARIMA model (Figure1(a) ), versus be 6378 (95% CI: 4904 to 7851) Richard's model (Figure1(b) ).
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