Author: Peiliang SUN; Kang Li
Title: An SEIR Model for Assessment of Current COVID-19 Pandemic Situation in the UK Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 9mdxid0u_14
Snippet: 1. The genetic difference in human race is not considered. The cumulative probability functions used in the model are acquired from the analysis of the COVID-19 data from China, and are applied to the UK situation under the assumption that this virus spreading mechanism remains unchanged. 2. About 20% of the infected people will develop symptoms and can be classified as quarantined cases. 3. Infected people can become infectious two days before s.....
Document: 1. The genetic difference in human race is not considered. The cumulative probability functions used in the model are acquired from the analysis of the COVID-19 data from China, and are applied to the UK situation under the assumption that this virus spreading mechanism remains unchanged. 2. About 20% of the infected people will develop symptoms and can be classified as quarantined cases. 3. Infected people can become infectious two days before symptom onset. 4. The virus tests can be conducted to each patient in severe situation on the third day after COVID-19 symptom onset. 5. The officially published death case number is accurate [7] . 1 According to WHO report people can shed COVID-19 virus 24-48 hours prior to symptom onset.
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