Author: Ke Wu; Didier Darcet; Qian Wang; Didier Sornette
Title: Generalized logistic growth modeling of the COVID-19 outbreak in 29 provinces in China and in the rest of the world Document date: 2020_3_16
ID: 9607dy2o_47
Snippet: The 10 most infected provinces (Guangdong, Henan, Zhejiang, Hunan, Anhui, Jiangxi, Shandong, Jiangsu, Chongqing, Sichuan) have done quite well in controlling the transmission, as indicated by the fact that their daily growth rates follow well-defined exponential decays, with a 2 larger than 90%. This exponential decay continued for all ten cities until the situation was completely under control during Feb 15-18, when the daily incidence was at ne.....
Document: The 10 most infected provinces (Guangdong, Henan, Zhejiang, Hunan, Anhui, Jiangxi, Shandong, Jiangsu, Chongqing, Sichuan) have done quite well in controlling the transmission, as indicated by the fact that their daily growth rates follow well-defined exponential decays, with a 2 larger than 90%. This exponential decay continued for all ten cities until the situation was completely under control during Feb 15-18, when the daily incidence was at near zero or a single-digit number.
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