Selected article for: "April end and personal protection"
Author: Peiliang SUN; Kang Li
Title: An SEIR Model for Assessment of Current COVID-19 Pandemic Situation in the UK
  • Document date: 2020_4_17
    • ID: 9mdxid0u_40
    Snippet: Our model reveals that if people fully comply the 'stay at home' order to the end of April, the total death toll is likely to be less than 21,000. To lift the lockdown measure from May, people will need to keep the strict social distance rule and apply other personal protection measures to ensure that the reproduction ratio is suppressed below 2 in order that the NHS has the sufficient capacity to cope with the medical treatment demand from peopl.....
    Document: Our model reveals that if people fully comply the 'stay at home' order to the end of April, the total death toll is likely to be less than 21,000. To lift the lockdown measure from May, people will need to keep the strict social distance rule and apply other personal protection measures to ensure that the reproduction ratio is suppressed below 2 in order that the NHS has the sufficient capacity to cope with the medical treatment demand from people having severe COVID-19 symptoms. However, if this is not achievable then interventions measures such as people stay at home every other/third day may equally reduce the reproduction ratio in the near future.

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