Author: Ugo Bastolla
Title: How lethal is the novel coronavirus, and how many undetected cases there are? The importance of being tested. Document date: 2020_4_1
ID: 2rc8n3x6_7
Snippet: The following is hand-waving reasoning that rationalizes why R(t)/D(t) tends to decrease in the exponential phase until reaching a plateau. Denoting by n(t) the number of people that get the infection at time t, and assuming that death takes exactly t d days, we can estimate the number of people that die at time t as d(t) = d 0 n(t − t d ). Analogously, we can estimate the number of recovered people as.....
Document: The following is hand-waving reasoning that rationalizes why R(t)/D(t) tends to decrease in the exponential phase until reaching a plateau. Denoting by n(t) the number of people that get the infection at time t, and assuming that death takes exactly t d days, we can estimate the number of people that die at time t as d(t) = d 0 n(t − t d ). Analogously, we can estimate the number of recovered people as
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