Author: Christopher Bronk Ramsey
Title: Human agency and infection rates: implications for social distancing during epidemics Document date: 2020_4_15
ID: dcmcog6l_24
Snippet: Another way to look at this is to consider the effect of different sections of the f (t) distribution on R0. If the log normal distribution truncated at +2σ is used, as discussed above, 50% of the value of R0 is generated by the most interactive 5% of the population. Likewise the bottom 50% of the population in interaction terms only contributes about 2% to the total, which makes it clear why modifying their behaviour is unlikely to have signifi.....
Document: Another way to look at this is to consider the effect of different sections of the f (t) distribution on R0. If the log normal distribution truncated at +2σ is used, as discussed above, 50% of the value of R0 is generated by the most interactive 5% of the population. Likewise the bottom 50% of the population in interaction terms only contributes about 2% to the total, which makes it clear why modifying their behaviour is unlikely to have significant effect: these are people who are unlikely to get the infection and unlikely to pass it on.
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