Author: Francisco Perez-Reche; Norval Strachan
Title: Importance of untested infectious individuals for the suppression of COVID-19 epidemics Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: i2rmc37q_22
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04. 13.20064022 doi: medRxiv preprint 60 days (i.e. approximately at the time of writing) would lead to a rapid resurge of the epidemic (see the marked increase predicted after week 12 in Figure 5 (a)). In contrast, an exit strategy in which the transmission is kept reduced by a 75% is predicted to keep the number of daily deaths below 100 for many weeks (see Figure 5 (c))......
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04. 13.20064022 doi: medRxiv preprint 60 days (i.e. approximately at the time of writing) would lead to a rapid resurge of the epidemic (see the marked increase predicted after week 12 in Figure 5 (a)). In contrast, an exit strategy in which the transmission is kept reduced by a 75% is predicted to keep the number of daily deaths below 100 for many weeks (see Figure 5 (c)).
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