Selected article for: "herd immunity and immunity threshold"

Author: Joseph A Lewnard; Vincent X Liu; Michael L Jackson; Mark A Schmidt; Britta L Jewell; Jean P Flores; Chris Jentz; Graham R Northrup; Ayesha Mahmud; Arthur L Reingold; Maya Petersen; Nicholas P Jewell; Scott Young; Jim Bellows
Title: Incidence, clinical outcomes, and transmission dynamics of hospitalized 2019 coronavirus disease among 9,596,321 individuals residing in California and Washington, United States: a prospective cohort study
  • Document date: 2020_4_16
  • ID: f8yixsds_40
    Snippet: The considerable length of stay among hospitalized cases in our study indicates that unmitigated transmission of SARS-CoV-2 poses a threat to US hospital capacity, consistent with observations in Italy and other high-resource settings 3 as well as recent experience in New York. 2 Our estimates of cumulative infections suggest the western United States remains far from reaching a herd immunity threshold. Although current social distancing measures.....
    Document: The considerable length of stay among hospitalized cases in our study indicates that unmitigated transmission of SARS-CoV-2 poses a threat to US hospital capacity, consistent with observations in Italy and other high-resource settings 3 as well as recent experience in New York. 2 Our estimates of cumulative infections suggest the western United States remains far from reaching a herd immunity threshold. Although current social distancing measures have provided a crucial stopgap in reducing transmission and protecting healthcare systems to date, 29 hospitals should ensure capacity to manage COVID-19 cases that will continue occurring in the coming months in a manner that is responsive to changes in social distancing or other pandemic-mitigating measures. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.

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