Author: Daniel E Platt; Laxmi E Parida; Pierre Zalloua
Title: Lies, Gosh Darn Lies, and Not Enough Good Statistics: Why Epidemic Model Parameter Estimation Fails Document date: 2020_4_21
ID: 9916y6x0_15
Snippet: growth. Early in the testing, from day 1 to 19, the rate of growth of positive cases was = 0.3519 ± 0.01390, corresponding to a doubling time of 1.97 ± 0.08. From day 20 to day 30, the rate of growth of positive cases was = 0.2027 ± 0.0076, corresponding to a doubling time of 3.42 ± 0.13. These numbers suggested very high rates of contagious transmission. These doubling times were reported by Governor Cuomo in some of his earliest briefings......
Document: growth. Early in the testing, from day 1 to 19, the rate of growth of positive cases was = 0.3519 ± 0.01390, corresponding to a doubling time of 1.97 ± 0.08. From day 20 to day 30, the rate of growth of positive cases was = 0.2027 ± 0.0076, corresponding to a doubling time of 3.42 ± 0.13. These numbers suggested very high rates of contagious transmission. These doubling times were reported by Governor Cuomo in some of his earliest briefings.
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