Author: Yong Tao
Title: Maximum entropy method for estimating the reproduction number: An investigation for COVID-19 in China Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: 7umn0vkv_59
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.14. Comparing equations (32) and (36), we find that the reproduction number formula (11) can be applied to the SIR model (1)-(4) if the approximation (34) holds. Equation Table 1 into the SIR model (1)-(4) to simulate the evolution of China's epidemic. The result is shown by Figure 5 , where the evolutionary track (red circles) of the epidemic is well in accordance with that.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.14. Comparing equations (32) and (36), we find that the reproduction number formula (11) can be applied to the SIR model (1)-(4) if the approximation (34) holds. Equation Table 1 into the SIR model (1)-(4) to simulate the evolution of China's epidemic. The result is shown by Figure 5 , where the evolutionary track (red circles) of the epidemic is well in accordance with that (black circles) of the real incident cases in
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