Selected article for: "actual number and infection actual number"
Author: Lionel Roques; Etienne Klein; Julien Papaix; Samuel Soubeyrand
Title: Mechanistic-statistical SIR modelling for early estimation of the actual number of cases and mortality rate from COVID-19
  • Document date: 2020_3_24
    • ID: dqg8fkca_23
    Snippet: Infection fatality ratio and actual number of infected cases. Using the posterior distribution of the model parameters (the pairwise distributions are presented in Appendix, see Fig. A1 ), we computed the daily distribution of the actual number of infected peoples. Using the relation (2) together with the data on D(t) = Σ t , we deduce the distribution of the parameter γ(t), at each date. The IFR corresponds to the fraction of the infected who .....
    Document: Infection fatality ratio and actual number of infected cases. Using the posterior distribution of the model parameters (the pairwise distributions are presented in Appendix, see Fig. A1 ), we computed the daily distribution of the actual number of infected peoples. Using the relation (2) together with the data on D(t) = Σ t , we deduce the distribution of the parameter γ(t), at each date. The IFR corresponds to the fraction of the infected who die, that is:

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