Author: Giovani L. Vasconcelos; Antônio M. S. Macêdo; Raydonal Ospina; Francisco A. G. Almeida; Gerson C. Duarte-Filho; Inês C. L. Souza
Title: Modelling fatality curves of COVID-19 and the effectiveness of intervention strategies Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: 35b3efom_34
Snippet: In the case of Brazil, see Fig. 2 (d), the epidemic is still in such an early stage that the RGM is not justifiable. Here it is more advisable to use a simpler growth model, such as the q-exponential model described in Sec. 3. In Fig. 2(d) we show the fit of the q-exponential curve (5) to the Brazilian data, and one sees that the agreement is very good. From the fit parameters, see inset of Fig. 2(d) , we predict that the current time for doublin.....
Document: In the case of Brazil, see Fig. 2 (d), the epidemic is still in such an early stage that the RGM is not justifiable. Here it is more advisable to use a simpler growth model, such as the q-exponential model described in Sec. 3. In Fig. 2(d) we show the fit of the q-exponential curve (5) to the Brazilian data, and one sees that the agreement is very good. From the fit parameters, see inset of Fig. 2(d) , we predict that the current time for doubling the number of deaths in Brazil is approximately 4 days.
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