Author: Renato Machado Cotta; Carolina Palma Naveira-Cotta; pierre magal
Title: Modelling the COVID-19 epidemics in Brasil: Parametric identification and public health measures influence Document date: 2020_4_3
ID: 3rmrkzuq_54
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is Next, this parameter estimation is employed in the prediction of the COVID-19 evolution in Brasil. Five scenarios were here explored: (i) the present public health interventions remain unchanged; (ii) a stricter isolation is implemented from now on, further reducing the transmission rate; (iii) an attenuation on the social isolation policy, leading to an increased transmissio.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is Next, this parameter estimation is employed in the prediction of the COVID-19 evolution in Brasil. Five scenarios were here explored: (i) the present public health interventions remain unchanged; (ii) a stricter isolation is implemented from now on, further reducing the transmission rate; (iii) an attenuation on the social isolation policy, leading to an increased transmission rate; (iv) an increment on the fraction of reported cases, through a massive blood testing campaign, for instance, forcing more unreported cases to become All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
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