Selected article for: "case number and health care system"
Author: Robert Moss; James Wood; Damien Brown; Freya Shearer; Andrew J Black; Allen Cheng; James M McCaw; Jodie McVernon
Title: Modelling the impact of COVID-19 in Australia to inform transmission reducing measures and health system preparedness
  • Document date: 2020_4_11
    • ID: emodr41j_32
    Snippet: This modelling study has shown that an unmitigated COVID-19 epidemic would rapidly overwhelm Australia's health sector capacity. Case targeted measures including isolation of those known to be infected, and quarantine of their close contacts, must remain an ongoing cornerstone of the public health response. While these interventions effectively reduce transmission, they are unlikely to be maintained at the high coverage modelled here throughout t.....
    Document: This modelling study has shown that an unmitigated COVID-19 epidemic would rapidly overwhelm Australia's health sector capacity. Case targeted measures including isolation of those known to be infected, and quarantine of their close contacts, must remain an ongoing cornerstone of the public health response. While these interventions effectively reduce transmission, they are unlikely to be maintained at the high coverage modelled here throughout the epidemic course. As public health response capacity is exceeded, greater constraint of disease spread will be essential to ensure that feasible levels of expansion in available health care can maintain ongoing system functions, including care of COVID-19 patients. Broader based social and physical distancing measures reduce the number of potential contacts made by each case, minimising public health workload and supporting sustainable case targeted disease control efforts.

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