Selected article for: "affected population and asymptomatic infection population"
Author: Yun-ting He; Hao He; Jing Zhai; Xiao-jin Wang; Bing-shun Wang
Title: Moving-average based index to timely evaluate the current epidemic situation after COVID-19 outbreak
  • Document date: 2020_3_26
    • ID: bcde0u7u_65
    Snippet: Traditional models, including SEIR and Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models, require pre-set application conditions. As mentioned above, the reliability of SEIR model is affected by the seasonality of coronavirus, population mobility, and asymptomatic infection status. The ARIMA models can only be used when the data is stable. The new EEI we proposed avoids these limitations and is more intuitive and reliable with only officia.....
    Document: Traditional models, including SEIR and Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models, require pre-set application conditions. As mentioned above, the reliability of SEIR model is affected by the seasonality of coronavirus, population mobility, and asymptomatic infection status. The ARIMA models can only be used when the data is stable. The new EEI we proposed avoids these limitations and is more intuitive and reliable with only officially released data. The EEI aims to monitor and evaluate the epidemic in time, not to make predictions. It adopts another idea to provide timely decision support for epidemic prevention strategies.

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