Author: Richard A Neher; Robert Dyrdak; Valentin Druelle; Emma B Hodcroft; Jan Albert
Title: Potential impact of seasonal forcing on a SARS-CoV-2 pandemic Document date: 2020_2_17
ID: 3p2dl8yf_22
Snippet: Here we explore scenarios where temperate regions have a seasonal forcing of between ε = 0.3 and 0.7 and migration rates of 0.01/year. Early estimates suggest an incubation time of about 5 days and an average serial interval of 7-8 days (Wu et al., 2020) . Our model uses an average incubation time of 5 days (Backer et al., 2020) and an infectious period of 5 days......
Document: Here we explore scenarios where temperate regions have a seasonal forcing of between ε = 0.3 and 0.7 and migration rates of 0.01/year. Early estimates suggest an incubation time of about 5 days and an average serial interval of 7-8 days (Wu et al., 2020) . Our model uses an average incubation time of 5 days (Backer et al., 2020) and an infectious period of 5 days.
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