Author: Ira B Schwartz; James H Kaufman; Kun Hu; Simone Bianco
Title: Predicting the impact of asymptomatic transmission, non-pharmaceutical intervention and testing on the spread of COVID19 COVID19 Document date: 2020_4_22
ID: 6okpsuvu_15
Snippet: and 85% fraction of asymptomatics, respectively. Our simulations show that, regardless of the composition of the infected class, a secondary peak of infection is not observed when testing is implemented on a fraction of the population. However, an early testing policy that catches even 25% of all asymptomatic cases results in a significant reduction of the number of new cases per 100k (≈ 1000 less cases predicted per 25% of the population teste.....
Document: and 85% fraction of asymptomatics, respectively. Our simulations show that, regardless of the composition of the infected class, a secondary peak of infection is not observed when testing is implemented on a fraction of the population. However, an early testing policy that catches even 25% of all asymptomatic cases results in a significant reduction of the number of new cases per 100k (≈ 1000 less cases predicted per 25% of the population tested).
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