Author: Yuan Zhang; Chong You; Zhenghao Cai; Jiarui Sun; Wenjie Hu; Xiao-Hua Zhou
Title: Prediction of the COVID-19 outbreak based on a realistic stochastic model Document date: 2020_3_13
ID: 0xzsa21a_13
Snippet: The controlled reproduction number, R c , which reflects the transmission ability of the epidemic, is essential for the assessment of control measures and speed of disease transmission. R c can be estimated from the ratio between the in-and-out flows of the active virus carriers in a given time period in our model. Moreover, we can also conduct hypothetical "controlled " test and evaluate the effectiveness of medical tracking......
Document: The controlled reproduction number, R c , which reflects the transmission ability of the epidemic, is essential for the assessment of control measures and speed of disease transmission. R c can be estimated from the ratio between the in-and-out flows of the active virus carriers in a given time period in our model. Moreover, we can also conduct hypothetical "controlled " test and evaluate the effectiveness of medical tracking.
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