Author: Rui Li; Wenliang Lu; Xifei Yang; Peihua Feng; Ozarina Muqimova; Xiaoping Chen; Gang Wei
Title: Prediction of the Epidemic of COVID-19 Based on Quarantined Surveillance in China Document date: 2020_2_29
ID: jadzias9_10
Snippet: Many academics tried to estimate key epidemiological characteristics and possible outcomes of the epidemic by means of transmission model mathematically.On Jan.24,2020,Jonathan M. Read 3 estimated the basic reproduction index(R0) for SARS-CoV-2 to be between 3.6 and 4.0,then and COVID-19 would outbreak further both in other Chinese cities and in international travel destinations sucn as Thailand,Japan,Taiwan,Hong Kong and South Korea at an sharpl.....
Document: Many academics tried to estimate key epidemiological characteristics and possible outcomes of the epidemic by means of transmission model mathematically.On Jan.24,2020,Jonathan M. Read 3 estimated the basic reproduction index(R0) for SARS-CoV-2 to be between 3.6 and 4.0,then and COVID-19 would outbreak further both in other Chinese cities and in international travel destinations sucn as Thailand,Japan,Taiwan,Hong Kong and South Korea at an sharply increasing rate.According to his model,he predicted the number of infected individuals in Wuhan to be greater than 190 thousand by Feb. 14,2020 although with a 99% effective reduction as a result of trave restrictions,the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan might only be reduced by 24.9%.His model suggested that travel limitation from and to Wuhan city were unlikely to be effective in halting transmission across China.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- basic reproduction and effective reduction: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- basic reproduction and epidemiological characteristic: 1
- basic reproduction and infected individual: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- basic reproduction and model reduce: 1, 2, 3, 4
- basic reproduction and transmission halt: 1
- basic reproduction and transmission model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- basic reproduction estimate and effective reduction: 1
- basic reproduction estimate and infected individual: 1, 2
- basic reproduction estimate and transmission model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15
- chinese city and transmission halt: 1
- chinese city and transmission model: 1
- effective reduction and infected individual: 1, 2
- effective reduction and model reduce: 1
- effective reduction and transmission model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- infected individual and model reduce: 1
- infected individual and transmission model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- model reduce and transmission model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date