Author: Melanie Bannister-Tyrrell; Anne Meyer; Celine Faverjon; Angus Cameron
Title: Preliminary evidence that higher temperatures are associated with lower incidence of COVID-19, for cases reported globally up to 29th February 2020 Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: drzphrqj_13
Snippet: This study provides preliminary evidence that there may be seasonal variability in transmission of SARS-CoV-2, but this analysis does not imply that temperature alone is a primary driver of COVID-19 transmission. The observed association may not be due directly to temperature, but to correlated factors such as relative humidity, or human behaviours during cold weather. The findings present an argument for further significant scaling up of contain.....
Document: This study provides preliminary evidence that there may be seasonal variability in transmission of SARS-CoV-2, but this analysis does not imply that temperature alone is a primary driver of COVID-19 transmission. The observed association may not be due directly to temperature, but to correlated factors such as relative humidity, or human behaviours during cold weather. The findings present an argument for further significant scaling up of containment measures now. The onset of warmer weather in the northern hemisphere may modestly reduce rate of spread, but anticipation of a substantial decline in total number infected due to warmer temperatures alone is not warranted by these findings. Furthermore, Average temperature Predicted number of local cases
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