Author: Jean Roch Donsimoni; Rene Glawion; Bodo Plachter; Klaus Waelde
Title: Projecting the Spread of COVID19 for Germany Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: neba2o7n_42
Snippet: As recovery is a process that enters additional measurement problems, a more reliable data source for our calibration purposes is the number of individuals that have been reported to be sick since the onset of the epidemic. This is also the time series that is typically reported by countries and regions (such as those reported by the RKI in Germany or the WHO more generally). In our model, the corresponding number follows from the in ‡ows from .....
Document: As recovery is a process that enters additional measurement problems, a more reliable data source for our calibration purposes is the number of individuals that have been reported to be sick since the onset of the epidemic. This is also the time series that is typically reported by countries and regions (such as those reported by the RKI in Germany or the WHO more generally). In our model, the corresponding number follows from the in ‡ows from state 1 to 2 and is given by
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