Author: LiXiang Li; ZiHang Yang; ZhongKai Dang; Cui Meng; JingZe Huang; HaoTian Meng; DeYu Wang; GuanHua Chen; JiaXuan Zhang; HaiPeng Peng
Title: Propagation analysis and prediction of the COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_18
ID: nf51yjmj_18
Snippet: According to the previous analysis, the disease develops on average after 6 days of incubation, and it takes an average of 5 days from the morbidity to the diagnosis (data from CHCC)[4], that is, 5 + 6 = 11 days from the initial infection and incubation to the diagnosis and isolation after the morbidity. Obviously, not all 11 days are contagious. Simulations show that when the average time for contagion is set to 8 days, it fits the official curv.....
Document: According to the previous analysis, the disease develops on average after 6 days of incubation, and it takes an average of 5 days from the morbidity to the diagnosis (data from CHCC)[4], that is, 5 + 6 = 11 days from the initial infection and incubation to the diagnosis and isolation after the morbidity. Obviously, not all 11 days are contagious. Simulations show that when the average time for contagion is set to 8 days, it fits the official curve best.
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