Selected article for: "outbreak control and parameter change"
Author: Lee Worden; Rae Wannier; Nicole A. Hoff; Kamy Musene; Bernice Selo; Mathias Mossoko; Emile Okitolonda-Wemakoy; Jean Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum; George W. Rutherford; Thomas M. Lietman; Anne W. Rimoin; Travis C. Porco; J. Daniel Kelly
Title: Real-time projections of epidemic transmission and estimation of vaccination impact during an Ebola virus disease outbreak in Northeastern Democratic Republic of Congo
  • Document date: 2018_11_5
    • ID: 96arnumb_44
    Snippet: Epidemic curves reported for past Ebola outbreaks were used to estimate time series of 578 effective reproduction number (R) by day, which were then fit to an exponential 579 quenching curve (Fig S2) . The quenching parameter estimates the rate of change in R 580 per day from R initial that results from outbreak control efforts, behavioral changes in 581 response to the outbreak, and potential local depletion of susceptibles. The parameters 582 R.....
    Document: Epidemic curves reported for past Ebola outbreaks were used to estimate time series of 578 effective reproduction number (R) by day, which were then fit to an exponential 579 quenching curve (Fig S2) . The quenching parameter estimates the rate of change in R 580 per day from R initial that results from outbreak control efforts, behavioral changes in 581 response to the outbreak, and potential local depletion of susceptibles. The parameters 582 R initial and Ï„ estimated by that curve fitting on past epidemics were then used to create 583

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