Selected article for: "cc international license and contact parameter"
Author: Ralf Engbert; Maximilian M. Rabe; Reinhold Kliegl; Sebastian Reich
Title: Sequential data assimilation of the stochastic SEIR epidemic model for regional COVID-19 dynamics
  • Document date: 2020_4_17
    • ID: 855am0mv_21
    Snippet: Next, we ran time-resolved analyses that generated estimates of the time-dependence of the contact parameter. The drop in mean contact rates from an early (β pre , March 17-19) to a later period (β post , March 31-April 2) indicated the effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions. We also generated model prediction under two different scenarios. In scenario I, started simulations from April 4th with sampling from the assimilated ensemble as init.....
    Document: Next, we ran time-resolved analyses that generated estimates of the time-dependence of the contact parameter. The drop in mean contact rates from an early (β pre , March 17-19) to a later period (β post , March 31-April 2) indicated the effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions. We also generated model prediction under two different scenarios. In scenario I, started simulations from April 4th with sampling from the assimilated ensemble as initials conditions and the contact parameter estimated 6 . CC-BY 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.

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