Author: Stephen M Kissler; Christine Tedijanto; Marc Lipsitch; Yonatan Grad
Title: Social distancing strategies for curbing the COVID-19 epidemic Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: nzat41wu_26
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.22.20041079 doi: medRxiv preprint Supplement Figure S1 . Schematic diagram of the disease transmission model. The population begins as susceptible (S). Infection is introduced through a half-week pulse in the force of infection starting on 11 Mar 2020(4). The transmission rate β(t) is a cosine with 52-week period parametrized by a phase .....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.22.20041079 doi: medRxiv preprint Supplement Figure S1 . Schematic diagram of the disease transmission model. The population begins as susceptible (S). Infection is introduced through a half-week pulse in the force of infection starting on 11 Mar 2020(4). The transmission rate β(t) is a cosine with 52-week period parametrized by a phase shift (φ), a maximum value (max(R0)), and a minimum value (Δ*max(R0)).Infected individuals then proceed to an exposed (E) state, after which a proportion pR enters the 'recovery' arm, pH enters the 'hospitalization' arm, and pC enters the 'critical care' arm. Exposed individuals become infectious (I) at rate ν. Individuals in the recovery arm then recover (R), but individuals in the hospitalization arm must pass through the hospitalization state (H) and individuals in the critical care arm must pass through both the hospitalization (H) and critical care (C) states. Parameter values are given in Table S1 .
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