Author: Semu Kassa; Hatson John Boscoh Njagarah; Yibeltal Adane Terefe
Title: Analysis of the mitigation strategies for COVID-19: from mathematical modelling perspective Document date: 2020_4_18
ID: celjbnt3_79
Snippet: The simulation out for this scenario shows that even if we increase the length of lockdown period 495 to 11 weeks (like it was practised in the Hubei province, China) the disease may re-emerge after 496 some period of time. However, the heights of the peaks in the subsequent waves of the disease 497 are much more less than that of the first peak. Therefore, once again, unless the authorities 498 apply some kind of strict contact tracing mechanism.....
Document: The simulation out for this scenario shows that even if we increase the length of lockdown period 495 to 11 weeks (like it was practised in the Hubei province, China) the disease may re-emerge after 496 some period of time. However, the heights of the peaks in the subsequent waves of the disease 497 are much more less than that of the first peak. Therefore, once again, unless the authorities 498 apply some kind of strict contact tracing mechanism and conduct enough testing to detect 499 and isolate up to 30% of the asymptomatic infectious individuals, the disease persist in the 500 community with multiple subsequent waves.
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