Selected article for: "case isolation and household quarantine case"
Author: Alex James; Shaun C Hendy; Michael J Plank; Nicholas Steyn
Title: Suppression and Mitigation Strategies for Control of COVID-19 in New Zealand
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
    • ID: gc5ieskk_10
    Snippet: We simulated an uncontrolled epidemic (Rc=2.5) and five levels of increasingly strong control that reduce Rc to 2.3, 2, 1.75, 1.3, 1.2 (Fig. 3) . These correspond approximately to the control measures modelled by Ferguson et al (2020) of: (i) closing schools and universities (Rc=2.3); (ii) case isolation (Rc=2); (iii) case isolation and household quarantine (Rc=1.75); (iv) case isolation, household quarantine, and population-wide social distancin.....
    Document: We simulated an uncontrolled epidemic (Rc=2.5) and five levels of increasingly strong control that reduce Rc to 2.3, 2, 1.75, 1.3, 1.2 (Fig. 3) . These correspond approximately to the control measures modelled by Ferguson et al (2020) of: (i) closing schools and universities (Rc=2.3); (ii) case isolation (Rc=2); (iii) case isolation and household quarantine (Rc=1.75); (iv) case isolation, household quarantine, and population-wide social distancing (Rc=1.3); and (v) case isolation, household quarantine, population-wide social distancing, and closing schools and universities (Rc=1.2). However, note that there is considerable uncertainty and country-dependent variation in the effectiveness of any given control intervention, and these values of Rc should be seen as a range of potential outcomes, rather than a prediction of a given control measure.

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