Susceptibility and Sustainability of India against CoVid19: a multivariate approach

Soumi Ray; Mitu Roy

None of the above discussed parameters has significant effect CoVid19 except lungs cancer. Though few have shown impact in increase in number of cases (or deaths) in some cities, nothing convincing has been found. It seems like the disease gets transmitted with almost equal potential in different atmosphere. Impact of lockdown is also not considerably good to get any definite suggestion. Hence the question remains unsolved. How India is going to response to this pandemic? Negative minimum temperature, a specific range of maximum temperature, lack of BCG vaccination and tendency of other lungs diseases have shown some positive impact in increasing the number of CoVid19 cases and death. We have combined all these four parameters to see their combined effect on death rate. Before statistical analysis, we have done preprocessing of each parameter to create four distinguished features. The temperature data are analogous in nature having no significant impact in case of a minute change. Using the already acquired knowledge from the previous analysis, we have classified the temperature into two different classes. In case of minimum temperature, values equal to or below 0°C are considered as one class which has strong negative impact on death and hence represented by 10. Rest of the temperature values which have less impact or no impact on death are considered as 1. Similarly, maximum temperatures between 17 to 25°C are converted to 10 and rest are to 1. Disease scores are divided into 3 classes -10 to 6, 5 to 1 and 0. Score greater than 5, represents disease rank within top 5. For these ranks a disease is represented by 10. Scores from 5 to 0 means the disease is ranked between 6 to 10 and rank below 5 is presented by 5. When a disease is not listed in top 10 diseases of the corresponding country, it has been represented by 0. This data preprocessing steps are important for better insight. Vaccination is represented by number of the years the program is continued in a country since 1980 as mentioned before.