Author: Samuel Soubeyrand; Melina Ribaud; Virgile Baudrot; Denis Allard; Denys Pommeret; Lionel Roques
Title: The current COVID-19 wave will likely be mitigated in the second-line European countries Document date: 2020_4_22
ID: dh3cgd48_7
Snippet: First, we model the daily temporal evolution of the cumulative number of deaths (Y 0 (t), t being the date) in a focal country labelled by 0. The daily increments, say N (t), of the process Y 0 are, conditionally on a set of competing predictors, independently drawn from mixtures of negative-binomial distributions whose means are the increments of the predictors:.....
Document: First, we model the daily temporal evolution of the cumulative number of deaths (Y 0 (t), t being the date) in a focal country labelled by 0. The daily increments, say N (t), of the process Y 0 are, conditionally on a set of competing predictors, independently drawn from mixtures of negative-binomial distributions whose means are the increments of the predictors:
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