Author: Nicholas G Davies; Adam J Kucharski; Rosalind M Eggo; Amy Gimma; W. John Edmunds
Title: The effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: g0pxqqga_41
Snippet: We assume that the population initially consists of susceptible individuals (S), who become exposed (E) after effective contact with an infectious person. After an incubation period lasting 4 days on average, exposed individuals of age i will develop either a clinical infection with probability , or a subclinical infection with probability . Clinical cases begin with y i 1 y i a preclinical but infectious (I P ) state lasting 1.5 days on average;.....
Document: We assume that the population initially consists of susceptible individuals (S), who become exposed (E) after effective contact with an infectious person. After an incubation period lasting 4 days on average, exposed individuals of age i will develop either a clinical infection with probability , or a subclinical infection with probability . Clinical cases begin with y i 1 y i a preclinical but infectious (I P ) state lasting 1.5 days on average; these individuals then progress to a clinically infected state (I C ), which we assume marks the onset of a clinical case. We assume that subclinical infections (I S ) are half as transmissible as preclinical and clinical infections. Regardless of whether they are clinically or subclinically infected, individuals remain infectious for 5 days on average and are then removed (R) from the infectious state; we assume that removed individuals are immune to reinfection over the 1-2 years over which we simulated the epidemic. Hospitalisations and deaths from COVID-19 are assumed to occur among clinical cases only, and we assume that the clinical outcome of a case does not impact upon transmission dynamics.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- case clinical outcome and incubation period: 1, 2
- clinical case and day last: 1
- clinical case and death hospitalisation: 1
- clinical case and effective contact: 1, 2, 3
- clinical case and incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
- clinical infection and day last: 1
- clinical infection and death hospitalisation: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- clinical infection and effective contact: 1, 2, 3
- clinical infection and epidemic simulate: 1
- clinical infection and incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- clinical infection and infectious person: 1
- clinical outcome and day last: 1, 2, 3, 4
- clinical outcome and death hospitalisation: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- clinical outcome and incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- day last and incubation period: 1, 2
- death hospitalisation and incubation period: 1
- effective contact and incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19
- epidemic simulate and incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date