Author: Nicholas G Davies; Adam J Kucharski; Rosalind M Eggo; Amy Gimma; W. John Edmunds
Title: The effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: g0pxqqga_54
Snippet: Derivation of contact rates for the "Intensive Interventions" scenario For the "Intensive Interventions" scenario, we assumed that 30% of workers would be able to work from home [36] , reducing work and transport contacts (11% of "other" contacts) among the low-risk general population (assumed to be 90% of adults under 70) by 30%. We also assumed leisure contacts (45% of "other" contacts) would decrease by 75% in this population. We assumed that .....
Document: Derivation of contact rates for the "Intensive Interventions" scenario For the "Intensive Interventions" scenario, we assumed that 30% of workers would be able to work from home [36] , reducing work and transport contacts (11% of "other" contacts) among the low-risk general population (assumed to be 90% of adults under 70) by 30%. We also assumed leisure contacts (45% of "other" contacts) would decrease by 75% in this population. We assumed that work and "other" contacts would be reduced by 75% among the high-risk general population (10% of under-70s) through shielding. Among those aged 70 and above, we assumed that 75% of work and other contacts would be reduced through shielding; we then further reduced transport contacts by 30% and leisure contacts by 75%.
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