Author: Chen Wei; Zhengyang Wang; Zhichao Liang; Quanying Liu
Title: The focus and timing of COVID-19 pandemic control measures under healthcare resource constraints Document date: 2020_4_19
ID: 5psqro9d_2
Snippet: The availability of a complete set of data and detailed records of adopted control policies from Wuhan enables us to construct and test an epidemic model that accounts for the factors deciding an outbreak profile, including the control policy's evolution through time as well as the healthcare system capacity. We also dissected the effect of the proactive case isolation strategy adopted in Wuhan. The model validated with data from Wuhan is potenti.....
Document: The availability of a complete set of data and detailed records of adopted control policies from Wuhan enables us to construct and test an epidemic model that accounts for the factors deciding an outbreak profile, including the control policy's evolution through time as well as the healthcare system capacity. We also dissected the effect of the proactive case isolation strategy adopted in Wuhan. The model validated with data from Wuhan is potentially applicable to other countries. Subsequently manipulating the parameters corresponding to control strategies opens a window to evaluate the effectiveness of each policy under certain healthcare system capacity constraints. We gauged the required NPI strength and timing for other 6 representative countries, namely US, Italy, France, Germany, Japan and Korea, with different hospital bed availability.
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