Author: Taranjot Kaur; Sukanta Sarkar; Sourangsu Chowdhury; Sudipta Kumar Sinha; Mohit Kumar Jolly; Partha Sharathi Dutta
Title: Anticipating the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic Document date: 2020_4_10
ID: 1xenvfcd_45
Snippet: Furthermore, we suggest that the interventions employed by India may not be at the time when the curve is very far from reaching the transition; however, the smaller proportion of affected cases may be the determining factor in limiting the disease spread in India. Implementation of a nationwide lockdown in India may have better prepared the country for taking measures to control the epidemic spread and bend the curve. However, our analyses also .....
Document: Furthermore, we suggest that the interventions employed by India may not be at the time when the curve is very far from reaching the transition; however, the smaller proportion of affected cases may be the determining factor in limiting the disease spread in India. Implementation of a nationwide lockdown in India may have better prepared the country for taking measures to control the epidemic spread and bend the curve. However, our analyses also suggest that the period beyond the signals of CSD also needs efficient monitoring. The result of our minimal stochastic model predicts that on 15 April, the number of infected people can go up to approximately 13500. Thus, the extended period of such measures are needed and likely to be effective [5] .
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