Author: Sang Woo Park; Daniel M Cornforth; Jonathan Dushoff; Joshua S Weitz
Title: The time scale of asymptomatic transmission affects estimates of epidemic potential in the COVID-19 outbreak Document date: 2020_3_13
ID: 50zrnau8_3
Snippet: Here, we focus on a third effect. If asymptomatic cases are important for transmission, they also have the potential to affect estimates of key parameters of disease spread such as the basic reproduction number R 0 (i.e., the expected number of secondary cases generated by an average primary case in a fully susceptible population [10] ). Thus, we investigate the relationship between individual-level features of asymptomatic cases (e.g., the proba.....
Document: Here, we focus on a third effect. If asymptomatic cases are important for transmission, they also have the potential to affect estimates of key parameters of disease spread such as the basic reproduction number R 0 (i.e., the expected number of secondary cases generated by an average primary case in a fully susceptible population [10] ). Thus, we investigate the relationship between individual-level features of asymptomatic cases (e.g., the probability that an infection is asymptomatic, asymptomatic case duration, transmission by asymptomatic individuals) to dynamics at the population scale.
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