Author: B Shayak; Mohit Manoj Sharma; Richard H Rand; Awadhesh Kumar Singh; Anoop Misra
Title: Transmission Dynamics of COVID-19 and Impact on Public Health Policy Document date: 2020_4_1
ID: 3ueg2i6w_48
Snippet: We now run some test cases, where we intend to compare COVID-19 with SARS and MERS. The latter comes first. MERS virus has an R0 of just above unity [51] as against 2.2 or more for the Coronavirus. In our model, reproduction number and hence transmissibility is taken into account through the factor k0. Accordingly we reduce k0 from 0.008 to 0.006 and plot the run below. There is a drastic increase in the ultimate number of healthy at large people.....
Document: We now run some test cases, where we intend to compare COVID-19 with SARS and MERS. The latter comes first. MERS virus has an R0 of just above unity [51] as against 2.2 or more for the Coronavirus. In our model, reproduction number and hence transmissibility is taken into account through the factor k0. Accordingly we reduce k0 from 0.008 to 0.006 and plot the run below. There is a drastic increase in the ultimate number of healthy at large people, to more than 80 percent of the initial population. In a series of test runs (not shown here), we also find that increasing the value of k0 causes the peak in the transmission rate to appear earlier and be higher, which is consistent with the known fact that social distancing broadens and flattens the peak. The maximum value of z (number of people in quarantine) also increases significantly with increasing value of k0.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- increase value and maximum value: 1
- initial population and large people: 1, 2
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date