Author: Lauren Tindale; Michelle Coombe; Jessica E Stockdale; Emma Garlock; Wing Yin Venus Lau; Manu Saraswat; Yen-Hsiang Brian Lee; Louxin Zhang; Dongxuan Chen; Jacco Wallinga; Caroline Colijn
Title: Transmission interval estimates suggest pre-symptomatic spread of COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_6
ID: 66ulqu11_36
Snippet: Shorter serial intervals yield lower reproduction number estimates. For example, when the epidemic grows at a rate of 0.15 (doubling time of 6.6 days; [23] scenario 1), the reproduction number for Tianjin is R = 1.87 (1.65, 2.07) and for Singapore it is 1.97 (1.43, 2.51). In contrast, if the previous serial interval (7.5 days [23, 1] ) is used, the estimate is R = 3.05......
Document: Shorter serial intervals yield lower reproduction number estimates. For example, when the epidemic grows at a rate of 0.15 (doubling time of 6.6 days; [23] scenario 1), the reproduction number for Tianjin is R = 1.87 (1.65, 2.07) and for Singapore it is 1.97 (1.43, 2.51). In contrast, if the previous serial interval (7.5 days [23, 1] ) is used, the estimate is R = 3.05.
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