Analysis of the Worldwide Corona Virus (COVID-19) Pandemic Trend;A Modelling Study to Predict Its Spread

Muhammad Qasim; Waqas Ahmad; Minami Yoshida; Maree Gould; Muhammad Yasir

These countries need to enhance their precautionary measures by voluntary plus mandated quarantine, stopping mass gatherings, the closure of educational institutes or places of work where the infection has been identified, and the isolation of households, towns, or even cities. There are report that a 1℃ rise in temperature led to a decrease of the cumulative number of cases by 0.86. 29 There is hope that a warm summer in this region might help to contain this virus but no change has been seen thus far. Therefore, individual behaviour will be crucial to control the spread of COVID-19. Personal responsibility, rather than government action may make a difference. Early self-isolation, seeking medical advice remotely unless symptoms are severe, and social distancing are key to overcoming this pandemic. Government actions should . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.