Author: Muhammad Qasim; Waqas Ahmad; Minami Yoshida; Maree Gould; Muhammad Yasir
Title: Analysis of the Worldwide Corona Virus (COVID-19) Pandemic Trend;A Modelling Study to Predict Its Spread Document date: 2020_4_1
ID: 8lku99jc_29
Snippet: It has been found that countries with limited health resources are significantly at high risk and among high health security index countries. Japan has been found more successful in controlling the trend and maintain the pandemic stabilised condition in its country. Countries need to learn lessons from Japan, South Korea and China to get control over COVID 19 pandemic. Other than government restricting on social gatherings and enforcing travel ba.....
Document: It has been found that countries with limited health resources are significantly at high risk and among high health security index countries. Japan has been found more successful in controlling the trend and maintain the pandemic stabilised condition in its country. Countries need to learn lessons from Japan, South Korea and China to get control over COVID 19 pandemic. Other than government restricting on social gatherings and enforcing travel bans to mitigate its spread, individuals also need to show responsibility to avoid useless movements. While countries need to increase testing of suspected cases at large scale to save people lives. Our this model study can be used as baseline to estimate the outbreak size and how much vaccine loads will be required to immunised all infected patients. This model can best provide information to reinforce the forward planning needed to act in the face of this lethal worldwide pandemic. . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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