Author: Markus Mueller; Peter Derlet; Christopher Mudry; Gabriel Aeppli
Title: Using random testing to manage a safe exit from the COVID-19 lockdown Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: loi1vs5y_15
Snippet: If the massive frequency of 1.5 million tests per day becomes available in Switzerland, it will be possible to test any Swiss resident every 5 to 6 days. If the infected people that have been detected are kept in strict quarantine (such that they will not infect anybody anymore with high probability), such massive testing could be sufficient to prevent an exponential growth in the number of cumulated infections without the need of draconian physi.....
Document: If the massive frequency of 1.5 million tests per day becomes available in Switzerland, it will be possible to test any Swiss resident every 5 to 6 days. If the infected people that have been detected are kept in strict quarantine (such that they will not infect anybody anymore with high probability), such massive testing could be sufficient to prevent an exponential growth in the number of cumulated infections without the need of draconian physical distancing measures. We now explain qualitatively our approach to reach this conclusion (Ref. [5] gives a more detailed quantitative analysis).
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