Author: Richard Lieu; Siobhan Quenby; Ally Bi-zhu Jiang
Title: A Covid-19 case mortality rate without time delay systematics Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: cjcxcsx5_3
Snippet: The purpose of this paper is to point out the respective limits of validity of the two approaches above, and under what circumstance would one be able 20 to infer the true case mortality rate without assuming any details about what could happen after an infection is confirmed. We then apply our formalism to calculate the mean case mortality rate of several parts of China, which is completely free from the systematic error arising from the uncerta.....
Document: The purpose of this paper is to point out the respective limits of validity of the two approaches above, and under what circumstance would one be able 20 to infer the true case mortality rate without assuming any details about what could happen after an infection is confirmed. We then apply our formalism to calculate the mean case mortality rate of several parts of China, which is completely free from the systematic error arising from the uncertain time delay between diagnosis and death. Our results for these regions do not corroborate 25 the two high case mortality rates quoted above.
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