Author: Aronis, John M.; Ferraro, Jeffrey P.; Gesteland, Per H.; Tsui, Fuchiang; Ye, Ye; Wagner, Michael M.; Cooper, Gregory F.
Title: A Bayesian approach for detecting a disease that is not being modeled Document date: 2020_2_28
ID: 0xbozygd_6
Snippet: A distinctive feature of an infectious outbreak is an initial period of exponential growth. [14] describes a Bayesian system, based on moving windows of ILI records, to detect a period of exponential growth that can signal the start of an outbreak. That system uses Bayes’ factors to determine when it is likely that an outbreak has started......
Document: A distinctive feature of an infectious outbreak is an initial period of exponential growth. [14] describes a Bayesian system, based on moving windows of ILI records, to detect a period of exponential growth that can signal the start of an outbreak. That system uses Bayes’ factors to determine when it is likely that an outbreak has started.
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