Author: Neri, Franco M.; Cook, Alex R.; Gibson, Gavin J.; Gottwald, Tim R.; Gilligan, Christopher A.
Title: Bayesian Analysis for Inference of an Emerging Epidemic: Citrus Canker in Urban Landscapes Document date: 2014_4_24
ID: 01yc7lzk_55
Snippet: The decreasing trend in b can be partly explained by previous investigations [28] , which suggested that the epidemic slowed down after ,12 months because of the onset of an unusually prolonged drought period. Moreover, there is compelling evidence [28] that the three main peaks in the monthly time series for b t (see e.g. months 6, 11, and 15 in Figure 3H for site D1, and similar times for the other three sites) were associated with major rainst.....
Document: The decreasing trend in b can be partly explained by previous investigations [28] , which suggested that the epidemic slowed down after ,12 months because of the onset of an unusually prolonged drought period. Moreover, there is compelling evidence [28] that the three main peaks in the monthly time series for b t (see e.g. months 6, 11, and 15 in Figure 3H for site D1, and similar times for the other three sites) were associated with major rainstorm events (strong wind gusts, combined with rainfall) in the Miami area. For each census site, the decreasing trend is
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